Bibliography
Generated from research/sources.json. Links are checked against Crossref and over HTTP; the latest report lists any that need a manual check. in Labor Zero marks works that David Shapiro’s Labor Zero (2026) also cites, from its published bibliography.
David Shapiro: Post-Labor Economics
- (2025). Understanding Post-Labor Economics in Six Easy Steps.in Labor Zero
- (2025). I'm starting a movement. (Labor/Zero).
- (2026). Technofeudalism is the Default Trajectory.
- (2026). Why Ending Labor is Catastrophic for Democracy.
- (2026). Labor Zero: AI, Automation, and the Last Employed Generation (online companion: appendix, bibliography, plates).
- (2026). PostLaborEconomics: public research repository (CC0).
CC0 except docs/laborzero and video thumbnails. Its /Research PDFs are AI deep-research outputs: use them to find primary sources, never cite them for facts.
- (2026). UniversalHighIncome: whitepaper and simulator.
Classic texts
- (c. 350 BCE). Politics (trans. Benjamin Jowett).
Book I, ch. 4: if shuttles wove by themselves, masters would need no slaves. The oldest automation thought experiment.
- (1516). Utopia.
Six-hour workday; the first post-scarcity blueprint in the Western canon.
- (1797). Agrarian Justice.in Labor Zero
A one-off capital grant at 21 plus a pension, funded by a ground-rent on land: the ancestor of universal basic capital.
- (1844). Estranged Labour (Economic and Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844).in Labor Zero
- (1858). Grundrisse, Notebook VII (the 'Fragment on Machines').
- (1883). The Right to Be Lazy.
- (1891). The Soul of Man under Socialism.
'Machinery must work for us': drudgery to machines, leisure and art to people.
- (1905). The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism.in Labor Zero
Where the sacralisation of work ('laborism' in Shapiro's terms) is usually traced.
- (1930). Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren.in Labor Zero
Coins 'technological unemployment'; predicts a 15-hour week by ~2030.
- (1932). In Praise of Idleness. Harper's Magazine.
- (1964). The Triple Revolution.
Memo to President Johnson: 'cybernation' will break the link between work and income.
Peer-reviewed papers
- (1967). Time, Work-Discipline, and Industrial Capitalism. Past & Present 38.DOI 10.1093/past/38.1.56
- (1983). Technological Advance, Economic Growth, and the Distribution of Income. Population and Development Review 9(3).DOI 10.2307/1973315
The horse analogy: labour could go the way of draft horses after the tractor.
- (2003). The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration. Quarterly Journal of Economics 118(4).DOI 10.1162/003355303322552801in Labor Zero
Routine-biased technical change; basis of the task framework.
- (2011). The Town with No Poverty: The Health Effects of a Canadian Guaranteed Annual Income Field Experiment. Canadian Public Policy 37(3).DOI 10.3138/cpp.37.3.283in Labor Zero
Mincome, Dauphin, Manitoba, 1974–79: hospitalisations fell ~8.5%.
- (2014). The Global Decline of the Labor Share. Quarterly Journal of Economics 129(1).DOI 10.1093/qje/qjt032in Labor Zero
- (2015). Why Are There Still So Many Jobs? The History and Future of Workplace Automation. Journal of Economic Perspectives 29(3).DOI 10.1257/jep.29.3.3in Labor Zero
The strongest mainstream case that automation complements labour; steelman it.
- (2015). The History of Technological Anxiety and the Future of Economic Growth: Is This Time Different?. Journal of Economic Perspectives 29(3).DOI 10.1257/jep.29.3.31
- (2017). The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerisation?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 114.DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.019in Labor Zero
The '47% of US jobs at high risk' estimate (circulated as a working paper in 2013). It measures technical exposure, not a forecast of job losses.
- (2019). Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor. Journal of Economic Perspectives 33(2).DOI 10.1257/jep.33.2.3in Labor Zero
- (2020). Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets. Journal of Political Economy 128(6).DOI 10.1086/705716in Labor Zero
US local labour markets, 1990–2007: areas more exposed to industrial robots saw large, robust falls in employment and wages (working-paper estimate per robot per 1,000 workers: −0.18 to −0.34 pp employment, −0.25 to −0.5% wages).
- (2022). The Labor Market Impacts of Universal and Permanent Cash Transfers: Evidence from the Alaska Permanent Fund. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 14(2).DOI 10.1257/pol.20190299in Labor Zero
No drop in employment; part-time work rose ~1.8 pp.
- (2022). General Equilibrium Effects of Cash Transfers: Experimental Evidence From Kenya. Econometrica 90(6).DOI 10.3982/ECTA17945
Local multiplier ~2.5; minimal inflation.
- (2024). GPTs are GPTs: Labor Market Impact Potential of LLMs. Science 384(6702).DOI 10.1126/science.adj0998
~80% of US workers have ≥10% of tasks exposed to LLMs; ~19% have ≥50%.
- (2025). Generative AI at Work. Quarterly Journal of Economics 140(2).DOI 10.1093/qje/qjae044
5,172 customer-support agents: +15% issues resolved per hour on average; gains concentrated among less experienced workers.
Working papers
- (2024). Scenarios for the Transition to AGI. NBER Working Paper 32255.in Labor Zero
Whether wages collapse depends on whether the space of tasks is bounded.
- (2024). The Simple Macroeconomics of AI. NBER Working Paper 32487.in Labor Zero
Task-based estimate: no more than a 0.66% TFP gain over 10 years. The strongest citation for the skeptical case.
- (2024). The Employment Effects of a Guaranteed Income: Experimental Evidence from Two U.S. States. NBER Working Paper 32719.
OpenResearch study, $1,000/month for 3 years: non-transfer income fell ~$1,900/yr, participation fell 4.2 pp, hours fell 1–2 h/week; leisure rose most.
Books
- (1944). The Great Transformation.
Labour as a 'fictitious commodity'; markets disembedded from society.
- (1950). The Human Use of Human Beings.
- (1958). The Human Condition.in Labor Zero
Labour vs work vs action; warns of 'a society of laborers without labor'.
- (1958). The Capitalist Manifesto.
Intellectual origin of the ESOP and 'binary economics': broaden capital ownership, not wages.
- (1962). Capitalism and Freedom.
Proposes the negative income tax (ch. 12).
- (1963). The Making of the English Working Class.
The standard account of the Luddites as skilled workers defending their bargain, not technophobes.
- (1967). Where Do We Go from Here: Chaos or Community?.
Argues for a guaranteed income as the simplest answer to poverty.
- (1995). The End of Work.
- (2008). The Race between Education and Technology.
- (2011). The Precariat: The New Dangerous Class.in Labor Zero
- (2011). The Problem with Work.DOI 10.1215/9780822394723
- (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century.in Labor Zero
r > g: returns to capital outpace growth, so wealth concentrates absent policy.
- (2014). The Second Machine Age.
- (2015). Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future.
- (2015). Inventing the Future: Postcapitalism and a World Without Work.
- (2017). Utopia for Realists.
- (2017). Basic Income: A Radical Proposal for a Free Society and a Sane Economy.
- (2018). Bullshit Jobs: A Theory.in Labor Zero
- (2019). Fully Automated Luxury Communism.
- (2019). Automation and Utopia: Human Flourishing in a World without Work.
- (2020). A World Without Work.
- (2023). Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle over Technology and Prosperity.
- (2023). Technofeudalism: What Killed Capitalism.in Labor Zero
Trials and programmes
- (2020). Results of the Basic Income Experiment: Small Employment Effects, Better Perceived Economic Security and Mental Wellbeing.in Labor Zero
- (2021). SEED: $500/month guaranteed income, Stockton, California (2019–2021).in Labor Zero
- (2023). Early Findings from the World's Largest UBI Study (Kenya).in Labor Zero
Reports
- (2015). Understanding the Historic Divergence between Productivity and a Typical Worker's Pay. Economic Policy Institute.in Labor Zero
- (2017). Social Prosperity for the Future: A Proposal for Universal Basic Services.in Labor Zero
- (2025). Government Pension Fund Global: Annual Report 2024.in Labor Zero
- (2026). The Fund.in Labor Zero
Data series
- (2026). Labor Force Participation Rate, 25–54 Yrs. (LNS11300060).in Labor Zero
- (2026). Share of the labor force employed in agriculture.
CC BY 4.0, embeddable.
Commentary
- (2021). Moore's Law for Everything.in Labor Zero
Proposes an American Equity Fund paying citizens from taxes on companies and land.
Fiction
- (1888). Looking Backward: 2000–1887.
- (1952). Player Piano.